Blog Archives

Telling Tales – 2017 update

This article provides updated Telltale charts, including 2017 returns. It focuses on the relative past performance of value and size factors compared to the total US market, as well as studying international and real estate funds. 
Using Telltale charts can be very informative, truly ‘telling the tale’ of what happened over time to portfolio trajectories, illustrating return to the mean properties, or lack thereof.

Posted in Asset allocation, international stocks, Market history, Market statistics, Portfolios, REITS, Value premium

Simba backtesting spreadsheet: miscellaneous topics

This blog article is the fourth of a series intended to document the inner workings of the Simba backtesting spreadsheet. […]
The intent of this fourth article is to address a few miscellaneous topics (e.g. end label on charts, compatibility issues, spreadsheet analytics).

Posted in Asset allocation, Market history, Market statistics, Portfolios

Simba backtesting spreadsheet: advanced topics

This blog article is the third of a series intended to document the inner workings of the Simba backtesting spreadsheet. […]
The intent of this third article is to elaborate on more advanced topics (e.g. unbalancing, safe withdrawal rate, etc). We’ll notably discover that a Safe Withdrawal Rate is just a simple harmonic mean.

Posted in Asset allocation, Market history, Market statistics, Portfolios

Simba backtesting spreadsheet: risk metrics, risk ratios

This blog article is the second of a series intended to document the inner workings of the Simba backtesting spreadsheet. […]
The intent of this second article is to elaborate on how risk metrics (e.g. volatility, drawdowns, etc) and risk ratios (e.g. Sharpe, Sortino, etc) are computed.

Posted in Asset allocation, Market history, Market statistics, Portfolios

Simba backtesting spreadsheet: a layered structure

This blog article is the first of a series intended to document the inner workings of the Simba backtesting spreadsheet. […]
The intent of this introductory article is to elaborate on how the spreadsheet is constructed, and provide an overview of its layered structure.

Posted in Asset allocation, Market history, Market statistics, Portfolios

Lazy Portfolios in 2017

The following table lists 2017 total returns for various examples of “lazy portfolios”. Some of the portfolios (Coffeehouse and Coward’s) are designed as  60/40 stock/bond portfolios. Other portfolios (Armstrong Ideal and Swensen) are designed as 70/30 stock/bond portfolios.  The two-fund,

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Posted in Market statistics, Portfolios

Frank Armstrong’s Ideal Index portfolio – 2017 update

Frank Armstrong III, investment advisor and author, offers the following seven fund “Ideal Indexed” portfolio in his book, The Informed Investor: A Hype-Free Guide to Constructing a Sound Financial Portfolio (published December 16, 2003). The portfolio employs a 70% equity

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Posted in Market statistics, Portfolios

David Swensen’s portfolio (from Unconventional Success) – 2017 Update

David Swensen, investment manager of the Yale University Endowment Fund, has addressed how investors should set up and manage their investments in his book, Unconventional Success: A Fundamental Approach to Personal Investment. The Swensen portfolio consists of six core asset

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Posted in Market statistics, Portfolios

William Bernstein’s Coward’s Portfolio – 2017 Update

William Bernstein, investment manager and author, first introduced a version of his “Coward’s portfolio” in 1996. The “coward” refers not to the investor’s risk tolerance but to the strategy of hedging one’s bets and having slices of a number of

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Posted in Market statistics, Portfolios

Harry Browne’s Permanent Portfolio- 2017 update

“For the money you need to take care of you for the rest of your life, set up a simple, balanced, diversified portfolio. I call this a “Permanent Portfolio” because once you set it up, you never need to rearrange

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Posted in Market statistics, Portfolios
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